2023 Frisco Bowl – UTSA vs Marshall Odds & Prediction

Nov 24, 2023; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; UTSA Roadrunners quarterback Frank Harris (0) warms up before a game against the Tulane Green Wave at Yulman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Hinton-USA TODAY SportsUTSA and Marshall clash in the Frisco Bowl on Tuesday, December 19thThe Roadrunners are now heavy favorites after several Marshall opt-outsRead below for 2023 Frisco Bowl odds and predictions for UTSA vs Marshall

UTSA and Marshall will meet in the Frisco Bowl on Tuesday, December 19th, in a matchup between two teams looking to end their seasons on a high note. The Roadrunners come in at 8-4 overall, while the Thundering Herd are 7-5.

The latest Frisco Bowl odds price the Roadrunners as 12-point favorites at Toyota Stadium in Frisco, Texas. The line has shifted 3.5 points due to key Marshall opt-outs, which you can learn more about below.

Let’s dive into the UTSA vs Marshall odds and offer our prediction for the college football Frisco Bowl.

UTSA vs Marshall Odds – 2023 Frisco Bowl

The latest odds for the Frisco Bowl list UTSA as 12-point favorites against the spread and -500 favorites on the moneyline. Their implied win probability is high at 83%.

The Frisco Bowl odds opened with UTSA as just 9.5-point favorites, but public money and Marshall opt outs have moved the line further in the Roadrunners’ direction.

Odds as of December 16, 2023, at ESPN Bet. Claim the ESPN Bet promo code for a $250 UTSA vs Marshall bonus. 

Roadrunners Betting Analysis

UTSA enters the Frisco Bowl following a crushing 29-14 loss to Tulane that eliminated the Roadrunners from AAC Championship contention. Prior to the loss, Jeff Taylor’s team had strung together seven consecutive victories.

UTSA is led by seventh-year quarterback Frank Harris, who has completed 65% of his passes this season for 2,506 yards and 18 touchdowns with eight interceptions. This will be Harris’ final college game, which brings meaning to an otherwise menial bowl game.

QB Frank Harris and other @UTSAFTBL players arrive in Frisco for the bowl game pic.twitter.com/mVlBjqK9pg

— JJ Perez (@theJJPerez) December 15, 2023

The Roadrunners have a fairly balanced offense, while being average defensively. They average 425 yards and 32 points per contest on offense, while allowing 370 yards and 25 points against on defense. Keep in mind some of these stats are skewed due to Harris missing multiple games.

When it comes to betting trends, the Roadrunners have gone 5-6-1 ATS, while the “under” has cashed in seven of their 11 contests. UTSA is yet to secure a bowl victory despite gaining traction as a program in the AAC.

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Thundering Herd Betting Analysis

Marshall comes into the Frisco Bowl following a 35-21 victory over Arkansas State in their last game of the regular season. The Thundering Herd traded wins and losses in the second half of the season, with the lowlight being a 28-0 shutout defeat to South Alabama on Nov. 11.

The Thundering Herd rely heavily on their ground game, led by running back Rasheen Ali who has over 1,000 rushing yards and 14 TDs on the year. Quarterback Cam Fancher has been solid, throwing for nearly 2000 yards with 14 TDs and 9 interceptions.

Cam Fancher DIVES to get this TD!! pic.twitter.com/ZWaCXe3eHj

— The CW Sports (@TheCW_Sports) October 7, 2023

The Thundering Herd will be turning to freshman QB Cole Pennington, however, as Fancher has since entered the transfer portal. He’s not the only Marshall player opting out, as RB Maurice Jones and TE Sean Sallis are also sitting out the Frisco Bowl.

Defensively, the Thundering Herd leave plenty to be desired, as they are allowing 376 yards and 28.2 points per game. They have been most vulnerable against the run, where they are allowing 158 rushing yards per contest.

In terms of ATS numbers, the Thundering Herd are a disappointing 3-8 ATS this season, with the over-under going 6-6-0. Marshall is 1-5 straight up as a betting underdog and 2-5 against the spread in that role.

UTSA vs Marshall Prediction

Opt-outs are always key when betting on college football bowl games, and that especially holds true for the Frisco Bowl. Marshall has several key bowl opt-outs that have already drastically shifted this betting line. There could be more to follow.

We like targeting UTSA in this spot while the line is sitting under two touchdowns. Marshall’s offense ranked 92nd in yards per play this season, and that was with their starting QB in the fold. They now turn to a freshman against a UTSA secondary that has held all but three opponents to under 250 passing yards.

This is the Frank Harris game, and we’re riding with the experienced QB in his final college start. The Thundering Herd are limping to the finish line, covering the spread in just two of their last nine affairs. The opt outs make them an easy fade in the Frisco Bowl.

Pick: UTSA -12 (-110)

 

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