Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, Odds & Starting Pitchers

Jul 12, 2024; San Diego, California, USA; Atlanta Braves designated hitter Marcell Ozuna (20) is congratulated by right fielder Adam Duvall (14) after hitting a home run against the San Diego Padres during the ninth inning at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY SportsWe’ve made our Braves vs Padres prediction for Saturday’s MLB matchupThe Saturday MLB odds favor the Padres at -135, with the Braves as slight underdogs at +115Read below for Braves vs Padres prediction, odds, and starting pitchers for July 13th

The Atlanta Braves (52-41) and San Diego Padres (49-48) continue their three-game series on Saturday, July 13, 2024, at Petco Park in San Diego. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET and the game will be televised on FOX.

The Braves are slight underdogs at +115 on the moneyline, while the Padres are favored at -135. The over/under for total runs is set at 7, with -120 juice on the over.

Here is our Braves vs Padres prediction for Saturday, along with MLB betting odds and starting pitchers.

Braves vs Padres Prediction for Saturday

The Braves took the series opener on Friday night with a convincing 6-1 victory, led by Marcell Ozuna’s two solo home runs. Atlanta has now won five of their last seven games and looks to continue their strong play against a struggling Padres team that has lost five straight.

Despite Atlanta’s impressive victory in the series opener on Friday, the Padres have a good chance to bounce back and even the series on Saturday. San Diego has been a better team against right-handed pitching this season, averaging 5.1 runs per nine innings and hitting .268 with a .326 on-base percentage in those matchups.

While Reynaldo Lopez has been impressive for the Braves this season, the Padres’ offensive firepower can’t be underestimated. The return of Xander Bogaerts from a shoulder injury provides a boost to the lineup, as evidenced by his 2-for-4 performance on Friday.

Additionally, the Padres have home-field advantage and an experienced starter in the pitching matchup with Dylan Cease on the mound. This line has steadily moved in San Diego’s favor, indicating sharp action. With the public hammering the underdog, the smart bet is San Diego to even the series.

Saturday MLB Pick:

Padres ML (-135) See All the Daily Odds Boosts & Profit Boosts Offered at Each SportsbookRead More

Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Odds

The oddsmakers have installed the Padres as the favorites in this game, with a moneyline of -135, which implies a 55.8% probability of a San Diego victory. The Braves, on the other hand, are slight underdogs at +115, indicating a 48.1% chance of winning.

These odds reflect the Padres’ home-field advantage and their superior record against right-handed pitchers this season. Despite Atlanta’s victory on Friday, San Diego’s potent offense and Cease’s pitching ability make it clear why the Padres are favored in this match.

First look at Dylan Cease in his new colors‼️

(via @Padres) pic.twitter.com/KDeTBOalj3

— FOX Sports: MLB (@MLBONFOX) March 14, 2024

In addition to the moneyline, the total runs line (over/under) is set at 7, with the over at -120 and the under at +100. This suggests that the oddsmakers believe there is a slightly higher probability of the game seeing seven or more runs scored.

Factors influencing this line include the Padres’ strong offensive performance against right-handed pitchers and the potential for both teams to put up runs, despite the presence of quality starting pitchers.

 

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Braves vs Padres Starting Pitchers

Saturday’s pitching matchup will feature Reynaldo Lopez (7-2, 1.71 ERA) for the Braves and Dylan Cease (7-8, 4.21 ERA) for the Padres.

Lopez has been one of the best pitchers in the majors this season and has been particularly impressive in his last five starts, allowing just ten runs total. He has a better WHIP (1.11) on the road than at home, suggesting he could be due for positive regression despite his already excellent numbers.

LopezVSCease

7-2	Record	7-8
1.71	ERA	4.21
1.13	WHIP	1.10
2.75	K/BB	4.22
2.33	Road ERA	3.69

On the other hand, Cease has the talent to deliver a strong performance as well. Despite some recent challenges, Cease has shown glimpses of excellence and boasts a solid 3.69 ERA in home games this season.

In his most recent start against the Arizona Diamondbacks, Cease pitched seven innings, allowing three runs on five hits and a walk while striking out eight batters. If he can build upon that outing and effectively limit the Braves’ offense, the Padres will have a good chance to come out on top.

Braves vs Padres Injury Report

The Padres received a boost on Friday with the return of second baseman Xander Bogaerts, who had been sidelined with a shoulder injury since May 20. Bogaerts went 2-for-4 in his first game back, providing a spark to the struggling Padres offense.

For the Braves, there are no new significant injuries to report, with Ronald Acuña Jr. (knee) remaining out for the season. The team has managed to maintain its success despite his absence, largely thanks to the outstanding performances of players like Ozuna and Lopez.

 

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