LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Odds, Predictions and Player Prop Picks – Game 6

Apr 28, 2024; Dallas, Texas, USA; Dallas Mavericks guard Luka Doncic (77) and LA Clippers guard James Harden (1) battles for the ball during game four of the first round for the 2024 NBA playoffs at American Airlines Center. Mandatory Credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY SportsThe Dallas Mavericks are favored to eliminate the LA Clippers on Friday nightWe’ve made our CLippers vs Mavs prediction, including player props to betRead below for Clippers vs Mavericks Game 6 odds, prediction, and player props

The Dallas Mavericks host the Los Angeles Clippers in a crucial Game 6 showdown at the American Airlines Center on Friday, May 3, 2024, at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. The Mavericks lead the series 3-2 and have a chance to close it out on their home court.

The Clippers, who are without star forward Kawhi Leonard due to a knee injury, find themselves on the brink of elimination. Dallas enters as an eight-point home favorite with the over/under set at 206.5 points.

Let’s take a peek at the Clippers vs Mavs odds, as we provide our prediction and player prop picks.

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

In the Clippers vs Mavs odds for Friday, Dallas is the -325 Game 6 home favorite, giving them a 76.5% implied chance of advancing.

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Odds as of May 3, 2024. Unlock the Fanatics Sportsbook promo to bet on Clippers vs Mavericks tonight.

Mavericks Riding High After Blowout Win

Luka Doncic put on a show in Game 5, tallying 35 points, 10 assists, and seven rebounds to lead the Mavericks to a commanding 30-point win. The 25-year-old superstar is averaging an impressive 30.2 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 8.8 assists per game in the series, despite shooting just 26.3% from three-point range.

Doncic’s ability to create for himself and his teammates has been a constant throughout the series, and he’ll look to continue his strong play in front of the home crowd.

Luka's 35 PTS led the Mavericks to victory in Game 5.

Dallas looks to advance while PG and the Clippers look to force a Game 7.

🏀 CLIPPERS/MAVS, Game 6⏰ Tonight, 9:30pm/et, ESPN pic.twitter.com/3WvJqjxSuT

— NBA (@NBA) May 3, 2024

Kyrie Irving, who had a relatively quiet Game 5 with 14 points and six assists, will aim to bounce back in Game 6. Prior to the last contest, Irving was averaging 28.8 points per game in the series. His scoring prowess and playmaking ability make him a constant threat on the offensive end. If Irving can find his rhythm early, it could spell trouble for the Clippers’ defense.

The Mavericks have outscored the Clippers 218-170 over the last seven quarters, showcasing their ability to take control of games. They’ve also been strong in the second half throughout the series, winning three of the five second halves and outpacing Los Angeles by significant margins in Games 1, 4, and 5.

Clippers Facing Uphill Battle Without Leonard

The Clippers’ hopes of forcing a Game 7 took a significant hit with the news that Kawhi Leonard will miss his third straight game due to a knee injury. Leonard’s absence has been felt on both ends of the floor, as the Clippers have struggled to generate consistent offense and contain the Mavericks’ potent attack.

In Game 5, James Harden had a forgettable performance, scoring just seven points on 2-of-12 shooting and committing four turnovers. The former MVP had been a reliable scorer in the series, averaging 22.2 points per game and shooting 43.9% from beyond the arc prior to his Game 5 struggles.

James Harden has the most playoff games in NBA history shooting less than 20% FG 😬 pic.twitter.com/9xCwYVs5Xl

— StatMamba (@StatMamba) May 2, 2024

For the Clippers to have any chance of extending the series, they’ll need Harden to regain his scoring touch and provide a much-needed offensive spark. Paul George, who has been the Clippers’ most consistent performer in the series, will need to shoulder a heavy load in Leonard’s absence.

George is averaging 19.8 points, six rebounds, and 4.8 assists per game, showcasing his ability to impact the game on both ends of the floor. In Game 4, he tallied 33 points, six rebounds, and eight assists, demonstrating his capability to take over when needed.

LA vs DAL Player Prop Picks

In the NBA player props market, Doncic comes into this game with the highest point total by a wide margin. Doncic’s over/under points total for Game 6 is at 33.5, with equal -117 odds to the over and under.

Player	Points	Rebounds	Assists	Three-Pointers Made
Luka Doncic (DAL)	33.5 (Ov -117 | Un -117)	9.5 (Ov -121 | Un -113)	9.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115)	3.5 (Ov -131 | Un -104)
Kyrie Irving (DAL)	24.5 (Ov -121 | Un -113)	4.5 (Ov -157 | Un +114)	4.5 (Ov -145 | Un +106)	3.5 (Ov +112 | Un -154)
Paul George (LAC)	24.5 (Ov -119 | Un -115)	5.5 (Ov -151 | Un +110)	4.5 (Ov +120 | Un -166)	3.5 (Ov +118 | Un -163)
James Harden (LAC)	19.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106)	5.5 (Ov +120 | Un -166)	7.5 (Ov -148 | Un +108)	3.5 (Ov +133 | Un -184)
Ivica Zubac (LAC)	13.5 (Ov -135 | Un -101)	9.5 (Ov -139 | Un +102)	1.5 (Ov +136 | Un -189)	OFF
Norman Powell (LAC)	12.5 (Ov -117 | Un -117)	OFF	OFF	2.5 (Ov +136 | Un -189)
Terance Mann (LAC)	10.5 (Ov -113 | Un -121)	3.5 (Ov -166 | Un +120)	1.5 (Ov -113 | Un -121)	1.5 (Ov +152 | Un -214)
PJ Washington (LAC)	10.5 (Ov -142 | Un +104)	5.5 (Ov -129 | Un -106)	1.5 (Ov +112 | Un -154)	1.5 (Ov -131 | Un -104)
Derrick Jones Jr. (LAC)	9.5 (Ov -135 | Un -101)	4.5 (Ov +106 | Un -145)	0.5 (Ov -157 | Un +114)	1.5 (Ov +152 | Un -214)
Daniel Gafford (LAC)	7.5 (Ov -133 | Un -103)	5.5 (Ov +112 | Un -154)	0.5 (Ov -151 | Un +110)	OFF
Amir Coffey (LAC)	4.5 (Ov -169 | Un +123)	2.5 (Ov +143 | Un -199)	0.5 (Ov -214 | Un +152)	0.5 (Ov -154 | Un +112)

NBA Player Prop odds as of May. 3, at Caesars Sportsbook.

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When considering player props, Luka Doncic’s points over (33.5 at +100 odds) is an enticing option. Doncic has been a scoring machine throughout the series, and with the chance to close out the Clippers at home, expect him to come out aggressive and look to put up big numbers.

Another player prop to consider is Kyrie Irving’s assists over (4.5 at -122 odds). Irving has dished out at least five assists in each of the last three games and averaged 5.2 assists per game during the regular season. With the Mavericks likely to focus their defensive attention on Doncic, Irving should have opportunities to find open teammates and rack up assists.

On the Clippers’ side, Paul George’s points under (24.5 at -115 odds) is worth a look. George has scored more than 22 points just once in the series and has struggled with his efficiency in two of the last three games. Without Leonard to help shoulder the scoring load, George may find it challenging to consistently put up big numbers against the Mavs’ defense.

LA Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction

The Mavericks have the momentum, home-court advantage, and a healthy roster heading into Game 6. With Luka Doncic playing at an elite level and the team’s ability to dominate second halves, Dallas is in a prime position to close out the series and advance to the second round.

The Clippers, on the other hand, face an uphill battle without Kawhi Leonard. While they have proven they can win in Dallas earlier in the series, the loss of their star forward and James Harden’s Game 5 struggles have made their path to victory much more difficult.

Expect a competitive first half as the Clippers fight to keep their season alive, but ultimately, the Mavericks’ firepower and home-court advantage should prove too much to overcome. Look for Dallas to pull away in the second half and secure a series-clinching victory.

For our Game 6 prediction, we think the Mavericks win and cover the spread, with the game going over the total points line. Consider taking Luka Doncic’s points over and Kyrie Irving’s assists over for player prop bets.

LA vs DAL Picks:

Mavs -8 (-110)Over 208 (-110)

 

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