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Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Prediction, Spread & Odds for Black Friday
by Robert Duff in NFL Football
Updated Nov 24, 2023 · 6:10 AM PST
Miami Dolphins place kicker Jason Sanders (7) kicks a field goal with seconds left in the game against the New York Jets at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Jan. 8, 2023.The Miami Dolphins are 9.5-point away favorites over the New York Jets in their NFL game on Black FridayMiami is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games against the Jets. New York is 5-10 ATS in the club’s past 15 divisional gamesRead on for the full Dolphins vs Jets odds and our best ber for Friday afternoon here
This season, the Miami Dolphins (7-3, 6-4 ATS) have made a habit of beating bad teams like a drum and the New York Jets (4-6, 4-5-1 ATS) certainly qualify as a bad team. The Jets have lost three in a row straight up, are 0-3-1 against the spread in their last four games and are big underdogs in the Dolphins vs Jets odds on Black Friday.
Meanwhile, the Dolphins are 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS this season against teams at .500 or below.
Miami is set as 9.5-point road favorites in the Dolphins vs Jets odds. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games facing the Jets.
Dolphins vs Jets Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Dolphins | -500 | -9.5 (-110) | Over 40.5 (-110) |
| New York Jets | +375 | +9.5 (-110) | Under 40.5 (-110) |
In the Dolphins vs Jets odds, the Dolphins are -500 moneyline favorites, giving them an 83.33% implied win probability. The total is set at 40.5 points. Five of the last six Dolphins vs Jets games played with New York as the home team have gone under.
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Odds as of November 23 at BetMGM Sportsbook. Check out the best BetMGM bonus for November here.
Kickoff for this game at MetLife Stadium on Friday, November 24, is set for 3:00 pm ET. The broadcast is being carried by Amazon Prime Video, as well as by DAZN in Canada.
Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets Betting Trends
In the NFL public betting splits, the Dolphins are getting 78% of spread handle and 86% of moneyline handle. The Dolphins are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games. Straight up, Miami has won five of the last six games facing the Jets.
New York is 4-12 SU over the last 16 games. The Jets are 3-2 ATS this season as a home underdogs. They are 1-2 ATS in divisional games.
Each of New York’s last five games have gone under. As well, the total is 2-4 in Miami’s last six games. Head to head, five of the last seven Dolphins vs Jets games also hit on the under.
Miami is the fifth betting choice in the Super Bowl odds at +900. The Jets is set with odds of +15000 in this betting market.
2024 – 2025 NFL Divisional Odds TrackerRead More
Dolphins Tua & Tyreek a Dynamic Duo
A contender in the NFL MVP odds, Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa is the only NFL starter this season with more than 20 TD passes and less the 10 interceptions.
Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill is maintaining his record pace. He’s the first player in NFL history with in excess of 1,200 receiving yards through the first 12 games of the season.
The refs told Tyreek Hill not to throw up the peace sign as a celebration:
Tyreek: "I'm spreading world peace” 😅 pic.twitter.com/WqT9SGHTEE
— NFL Retweet (@NFLRT) November 22, 2023
At his current rate, Hill will finish with 2,077 receiving yards. That would eclipse the NFL record of 1,964 yards set by Detroit’s Calvin Johnson in 2012.
However, if you’re looking for a play in the Week 12 Dolphins vs Jets props, Hill failed to go over 50 receiving yards in either game against the Jets last season.
Changes Afoot for Jets
There was plenty of change involving the Jets this week. Benched in last week’s loss to Buffalo, Zach Wilson is being replaced at QB by Tim Boyle for this game. Trevor Siemian will back up Boyle.
Introducing the man who will save the season. His talent completely outshines Zach Wilson’s.
Tim Boyle CLUTCH Compilation: pic.twitter.com/y7N1JA4rhO
— jetscity (@jetscityy) November 20, 2023
New York is also revamping the club’s offensive line. Veteran left tackle Duane Brown is being activated from IR. His return will see Mekhi Becton shift back to right tackle. He’s started eight games in a row at LT in place of Brown.
Guard Chris Glaser, who started last week against Buffalo, and tackle Daniel Kelly were released. The Jets are activating OL Xavier Newman, Tanzel Smart and Jacob Hansen from the practice squad.
Dolphins vs Jets Prediction
This game has Miami rout written all over it. The Bills couldn’t cover against anyone. Riding an 0-6 ATS streak facing the Jets, Buffalo hammered New York 32-6.
Boyle is 0-3 as a starting QB, all with the 2021 Detroit Lions. Over his NFL career, he’s made 18 game appearances. Boyle has averaged 175.3 yards passing, with three TD passes against six interceptions.
New York has scored a combined 37 points in the past four games. The Jets have nine TDs all season long. By contrast, Miami scored 10 TDs in a 70-20 rout of Denver during a Week 3 game.
Dolphins vs Jets Picks: Miami Dolphins -9.5 (-115)
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